Sunday, June 14, 2015

Where Will Mortgage Rates Be In 12 Months?

One of the biggest questions plaguing the current housing market is where mortgage interest rates will be at this time next year. Over the last two months, rates have begun to creep up (see chart).

Though we don’t like to project rates moving forward, we do want you and your family to have the information you need in order to decide whether to wait before buying your first house or moving up to your ultimate dream home.
Here are the most current mortgage rate projections from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Mortgage Bankers’ Association and the National Association of Realtors.
Projecting interest rates is not easy. So what should you do – do it now or wait? We like the advice Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, recently gave:
 
“The rule for when is it time to buy is always the same: given your household budget and where current interest rates are, if it makes good financial sense to take out a home loan today, then today is the day to do it.”
 

Bottom Line

If you are ready, willing and able and are thinking of buying a home over the next twelve months, waiting may not make sense.
 
 
 


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Sunday, June 7, 2015

O.C. Home Prices at 7-Year High in Mid May

Orange County's housing market continued to hold on to seven-year-high pricing in mid-May.
The median selling price for all residences was $600,000 in the 22 business days ending May 14 – up 1.7 percent vs. a year ago, CoreLogic reported. That’s the same price as was reported for the full month of April, the highest since August 2007.
There were 3,458 residences sold in the mid-May period, up 9.6 percent from a year ago.
At the neighborhood level, prices were up in just 28 of 83 Orange County ZIP codes vs. the previous year. Sales rose in only 32 of 83 O.C. ZIPs vs. the year-ago period.
As for key slices of the market in the mid-May period, the median selling price for resales of single family homes was $670,000 -- up 3.1 percent from a year ago. Sales totaled 2,172 -- up 11.6 percent from a year ago.
Resale condos' median selling price was $409,000 -- up 1.0 percent from a year ago. Sales totaled 1,033 -- up 18.3 percent from a year ago.
Median price for newly constructed residences was $873,500 -- up 8.5 percent from a year ago. Builders sold 253 new homes, down 24.7 percent from a year ago.

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Thursday, May 21, 2015

O.C. Home Prices, Sales on the Rise, Within 7% of All-Time High

Orange County’s housing market came roaring back in April, as home prices climbed to within 7 percent of the local record and sales hit the highest level in 21 months, according to CoreLogic’s monthly housing report, released Tuesday.

The median price of an Orange County home, or the price at the midpoint of all transactions, hit $600,000 for only the second time since the housing market crash.

That’s up 4.2 percent from a year ago amid a tight market that features low inventory and the highest buyer demand in two years.

The median home price in Orange County hit a record high of $645,000 in June 2007, according to CoreLogic. The last time the median reached $600,000 or higher was last June, following seven years of prices below the $600,000 mark.

The median price for resale houses hit $675,000 in April, a post-recession high, according to CoreLogic.

The report also showed that 3,497 homes changed hands in April, the biggest monthly sales tally since July 2013.

“It’s a terrific market, and if someone’s thinking of selling, it’s an excellent time,” said Julie Boynton, an agent with Seven Gables Real Estate in Tustin. “The fact that we’re in single-digit appreciation shows we’re moving in a good direction (for sellers), but it’s not going crazy. It’s not an insane market.”

The limited number of homes for sale remains a big factor, driving bidding wars, local agents said.

Steve Thomas of ReportsOnHousing.com calculated that it would take 56 days to sell all the homes on the market at April’s sales pace. Just 35 days are needed to sell all the listings in the $250,000-to-$500,000 price range, with 40 needed for homes listed from $500,000 to $750,000.

That compares with an average of four months in figures dating back to 2004.

As of May 7, Orange County had 5,825 homes for sale in the Realtor-run Multiple Listing Service – nearly 850 fewer than a year ago, Thomas reported.

Orange County is not unique. Tight inventory and rising demand also characterize housing across the state and the nation.

Home prices rose in 148 of 174 U.S. metro areas during the first quarter of the year, the National Association of Realtors reported last week. Statewide, home prices were up in 42 out of 49 counties included in the California Association of Realtors report for April.

California Realtors attributed rising sales to solid job growth and near-record low interest rates.

“While it’s a welcomed sign to see the growth in housing demand continue, the lack of supply remains a concern,” said Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the group. “The imbalance between the two sides not only intensifies market competition and pushes home prices higher, but also leads to housing-affordability issues that could ultimately lower the home ownership rate.”

The median price of a Southern California home hit $429,000 in April, the highest in 71/2 years, CoreLogic figures show. The sales tally for the six-county region totaled 21,708 homes, up 8.5 percent and the highest since August 2013.

Rising demand also may be spurring an increase in homebuilding.

The U.S. Commerce Department reported Tuesday that single-family home construction starts in April hit the highest level in 71/2 years, surging to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.14 million units.

Local agents say one-story homes are in big demand this year, but they were at a loss to explain why. Young first-time buyers were seeking them almost as fast as aging baby boomers looking to downsize, said Mary Morris of Re/Max Premier Realty in Mission Viejo.

Morris sold a single-story house last month, getting five offers within days of its coming on the market.

“We had an open house that Saturday and got multiple offers that day,” Morris said. The three-bedroom, upgraded house sold for $654,500 – $6,000 over the seller’s asking price.

To sweeten their bid, the buyers offered to let the sellers live in the home an extra 30 days for free.

“That’s becoming more common,” Morris said. Buyers also rarely make offers contingent on selling their older homes first because of the competitive disadvantage of doing so.

“Properties still are going off the market within the first couple weeks,” Morris said.

CoreLogic Analyst Andrew LePage noted also that many buyers still face credit and affordability hurdles.

Morris said South County buyers “are holding back,” wary of price creep.

“Not every property has multiple offers,” Morris said. Today’s buyers “really know their price per square foot, and they know when a home is overpriced.”

Boynton said she sold a three-bedroom house in Tustin Ranch last month, going into escrow five days after listing it even though she never put a for-sale sign out. The house sold for $615,000.

“Inventory is still pretty scarce in between $500,000 and $700,000. Nice properties in that price range are sought after, and most likely receive more than one offer,” she said. “If it’s priced well, you may not get above (the asking price), but you’ll get close to your price.”

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Friday, April 17, 2015

March Home Sales In Orange County Hit Six-Year High

Orange County home sales took off in March, climbing 8.9 percent from March of last year, CoreLogic reported Thursday.
In all, 3,140 houses, condos and townhomes changed hands last month, the biggest monthly tally in eight months and the most sales for a March since 2006.
But prices overall were unchanged from year-ago levels.
The median selling price of an Orange County home – or the price at the midpoint of all sales – was $580,000, CoreLogic reported. Prices were up 4 percent, however, for existing single-family homes, which made up 61 percent of the March market.
While sales saw their first big year-over-year percentage gain in 1 1/2 years, the pace of homebuying has been depressed since late 2013 following a huge jump in home prices. Last month's sales also still were 14.5 percent below the March average.
Sales jumps occurred last month across the region, with Southern California housing transactions up 11.1 percent to 19,603.
“Sales increased year over year, which is something that's only happened in a few months over the past year,” said CoreLogic analyst Andrew LePage. “Sales have been hampered by low inventory, especially in the lower price ranges, rising prices and lingering credit hurdles.”
An increase in the number of homes for sale “could support higher sales and tame home price appreciation.”
Here's a breakdown of Southern California home sales and prices by county:
County/areaMarch median1 yr. ch.Sales1 yr. ch.
Orange$580,0000.0%3,1408.9%
Los Angeles$476,5009.5%6,65312.5%
Riverside$301,0004.3%3,2425.7%
San Bernardino$250,0008.7%2,28911.8%
San Diego$456,0006.8%3,46713.4%
Ventura$460,0007.0%81221.6%
Southern Calif.$425,0006.3%19,60311.1%

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Wednesday, April 8, 2015

February's 4% Home Price Gain Foretells Busy Spring

Orange County home values appear poised to take off again this spring, with sale prices up 4 percent in February, before the busy home buying season kicked off, Irvine-based CoreLogic reported Tuesday.
 
February’s gain represented the 33rd consecutive month of year-over-year house price gains in the county.
Nationwide, February home prices shot up 5.6 percent from February 2014 levels.
 
The nation’s gain was “the hottest home price appreciation prior to the spring selling season in nine years,” said CoreLogic CEO Anand Nallathambi.
 
If interest rates remain low and consumer confidence remains high, “we expect (U.S.) home prices to rise by an additional 5 percent over the next 12 months,” Nallathambi said.
 
Another indicator of a potential hot market: Orange County homebuyers launched 2,975 escrows in March, figures from Steve Thomas’ ReportsOnHousing.com show. That’s the highest number of escrows in nearly two years.
 
CoreLogic figures show Los Angeles County having the third-hottest housing market among the nation’s largest metro areas in February. House prices there were up 7.9 percent year over year, trailing only the 10.4 percent gain in Houston and the 9.3 percent increase in Dallas.
 
The Inland Empire posted an increase of 5.1 percent, seventh-highest among big metro areas. Orange County’s gain ranked eighth.

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